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Predicate | Object |
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
1
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pubmed:dateCreated |
1998-5-8
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pubmed:abstractText |
We examined the risk of importing and mistakenly releasing equine infectious anemia virus (EIAV)-infected horses into California. A computer simulation model was constructed to evaluate current and alternative quarantine station procedures; 150,000 iterations were performed to simulate 15 different scenarios of 10,000 horses imported into the state over a 14-year period. Simulation results showed that under current conditions of low EIAV prevalence in exporting countries, increasing the quarantine period would not decrease the number of EIAV-infected horses mistakenly released from quarantine. In a worst case scenario of high EIAV prevalence in exporting countries, the model predicted 10 EIAV-infected horses would be imported, of these 1 or none would escape detection and would be released mistakenly if quarantine duration were 3 or 14 days, respectively. This model may be applied to other quarantine station situations for evaluating the importation risk for EIAV and other diseases.
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Jan
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pubmed:issn |
1040-6387
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Print
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pubmed:volume |
10
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
11-6
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pubmed:dateRevised |
2003-11-14
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pubmed:meshHeading |
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Animals,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-California,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Computer Simulation,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Epidemiologic Methods,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Equine Infectious Anemia,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Horses,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Lentivirus,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Prevalence,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Quarantine,
pubmed-meshheading:9526854-Risk Assessment
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pubmed:year |
1998
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pubmed:articleTitle |
Risk analysis of quarantine station performance: a case study of the importation of equine infectious anemia virus-infected horses into California.
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pubmed:affiliation |
Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis 95616, USA.
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article
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