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PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:issue
3
pubmed:dateCreated
2006-12-28
pubmed:abstractText
This paper proposes a statistical method for determining the therapeutic dose of a test drug in a confirmatory clinical trial based on a phase II clinical trial using 3 or 4 doses of the drug. This method assumes the primary variable has a normal distribution with a common variance, that a test-drug effect is seen when the population means show a response pattern indicating a monotonic increase with dose, and that there is a prior distribution for the population means. Under the proposed method, multiple contrast statistics are determined, such as contrast statistics for linear increase and plateau, and a response pattern is selected based on the maximum contrast statistic. The posterior probability that the selected response pattern is the true one is evaluated, and if this exceeds the cut-off value a therapeutic dose is selected based on the estimated response pattern. To select the appropriate cut-off value, a simulation study was conducted using a loss function for which the loss due to overestimation is greater than the loss due to underestimation. It was found that, as a rule, the appropriate cut-off value to reduce the expected loss for various response patterns is 0.75 for a 3-group trial and 0.70 for a 4-group trial. Using these cut-off values, the proposed method was applied to a previous clinical trial of a leukotriene receptor antagonist in patients with bronchial asthma. The method enabled the selection of what are considered appropriate response patterns and a therapeutic dose. Thus, the proposed method appears reasonable.
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
IM
pubmed:chemical
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:month
Feb
pubmed:issn
0277-6715
pubmed:author
pubmed:copyrightInfo
2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:day
10
pubmed:volume
26
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
498-511
pubmed:dateRevised
2007-11-15
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
2007
pubmed:articleTitle
A method for therapeutic dose selection in a phase II clinical trial using contrast statistics.
pubmed:affiliation
Graduate School of Engineering, Tokyo University of Science, 1-3 Kagurazaka, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 162-8601, Japan. akirawa@mar.rikadai.jp
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article