Source:http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/id/11014050
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Predicate | Object |
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
3
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pubmed:dateCreated |
2000-10-24
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pubmed:abstractText |
Task completion plans normally resemble best-case scenarios and yield overly optimistic predictions of completion times. The authors induced participants to generate more pessimistic scenarios and examined completion predictions. Participants described a pessimistic scenario of task completion either alone or with an optimistic scenario. Pessimistic scenarios did not affect predictions or accuracy and were consistently rated less plausible than optimistic scenarios (Experiments 1-3). Experiment 4 independently manipulated scenario plausibility and optimism. Plausibility moderated the impact of optimistic, but not pessimistic, scenarios. Experiment 5 supported a motivational explanation of the tendency to disregard pessimistic scenarios regardless of their plausibility. People took pessimistic scenarios into account when predicting someone else's completion times. The authors conclude that pessimistic-scenario generation may not be an effective debiasing technique for personal predictions.
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Sep
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pubmed:issn |
1076-898X
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Print
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pubmed:volume |
6
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
171-82
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pubmed:dateRevised |
2006-11-15
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pubmed:meshHeading | |
pubmed:year |
2000
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pubmed:articleTitle |
People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times.
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pubmed:affiliation |
Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. newby@uwindsor.ca
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article,
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
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