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Predicate | Object |
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
3
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pubmed:dateCreated |
1984-8-29
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pubmed:abstractText |
Bayes' theorem of conditional probability was applied to the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) using thallium-201 scintigraphy as the testing procedure. Thallium-201 scintiscans were evaluated with a discriminant function previously developed using the amplitude coefficients of the Fourier transforms of the scans. The technique was applied prospectively to a population of 100 patients undergoing diagnostic coronary arteriography and thallium-201 scintigraphy, including 83 patients with CAD (70% or greater stenosis of luminal diameter) and 17 control subjects. A pretest probability of CAD was determined for each patient from the patient's age, sex and anginal symptoms. The pretest probability was combined with the patient's discriminant score to determine a posttest probability for CAD. For patients with CAD, the mean posttest probability was 0.85. Moreover, 57 of 83 patients (69%) had posttest probabilities exceeding 90%, including 40 patients (48%) with posttest probabilities exceeding 99%. For control subjects, the mean posttest probability was 0.19, with 11 of 17 (65%) having a posttest probability of less than 10%. Overall, 68 subjects had a posttest probability either less than 10% or more than 90% of which 63 were correctly classified (93%). Using a 50% posttest probability as a cutoff for classification, the technique has an 89% sensitivity, an 82% specificity and an overall accuracy of 88%. Therefore, this method objectively distinguishes patients with CAD from control subjects and provides a measure of the certainty of diagnosis. In addition, the discriminant function avoids the problem of inter- and intraobserver variability in visually interpreting thallium-201 scans.
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
AIM
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pubmed:chemical | |
pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Aug
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pubmed:issn |
0002-9149
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Print
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pubmed:day |
1
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pubmed:volume |
54
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
289-93
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pubmed:dateRevised |
2006-11-15
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pubmed:meshHeading |
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Adult,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Aged,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Bayes Theorem,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Coronary Angiography,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Coronary Disease,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Electrocardiography,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Female,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Heart,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Humans,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Male,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Middle Aged,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Prospective Studies,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Radioisotopes,
pubmed-meshheading:6465007-Thallium
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pubmed:year |
1984
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pubmed:articleTitle |
Bayesian analysis using Fourier transforms of thallium-201 scintiscans to predict the presence of coronary artery disease.
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article,
Comparative Study
|