Statements in which the resource exists as a subject.
PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:issue
3
pubmed:dateCreated
1988-3-23
pubmed:abstractText
To generate hypotheses about how physicians make difficult clinical decisions, we analyzed transcripts of the "thinking aloud" behavior of expert clinicians making a testing or treatment decision with an uncertain diagnosis. We compared the clinicians' reasoning with a decision analysis of the same problem. The experts did not formulate a global outline of their decision, but chained together a sequence of decisions based on available and incomplete information. Despite effective and efficient problem solving, the clinicians used numeric terms only as symbolic representations of likelihood, used limited information in choosing among alternatives, and dismissed the possibility that a less conventional strategy, empiric therapy, might yield equivalent outcome. We describe cognitive problem-solving strategies and knowledge representations that permit persons to make successful decisions despite limited processing resources. The same cognitive procedures probably contribute to observed errors in decision-making under uncertainty.
pubmed:grant
pubmed:keyword
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
AIM
pubmed:chemical
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:month
Mar
pubmed:issn
0003-4819
pubmed:author
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:volume
108
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
435-49
pubmed:dateRevised
2009-11-19
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
1988
pubmed:articleTitle
Dealing with uncertainty, risks, and tradeoffs in clinical decisions. A cognitive science approach.
pubmed:affiliation
Department of Medicine, Tufts University School of Medicine, New England Medical Center, Boston Massachusetts.
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S., Case Reports