Statements in which the resource exists as a subject.
PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:issue
7
pubmed:dateCreated
1989-9-29
pubmed:abstractText
We use a staged Markov model to estimate the distribution and mean length of the incubation period for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) from a cohort of 603 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected individuals who have been followed through various stages of infection. The model partitions the infected period into four progressive stages: (1) infected but antibody-negative; (2) antibody-positive but asymptomatic; (3) pre-AIDS symptoms and/or abnormal haematologic indicator; and (4) clinical AIDS. We also model a fifth stage: death due to AIDS. The estimated mean (median) waiting times in each stage of infection are stage 1, 2.2 (1.5) months; stage 2, 52.6 (36.5) months; stage 3, 62.9 (43.6) months; and stage 4, 23.6(16.3) months. We estimate the mean AIDS incubation period (from infection to development of clinical AIDS) as 9.8 years with a 95 per cent confidence interval of [8.4, 11.2] years. The paper also considers the estimated density function of the AIDS incubation period and the estimated survival functions for individuals in each stage of infection. This work represents one of the most complete statistical descriptions to date of the natural history of HIV infection.
pubmed:grant
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
IM
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:month
Jul
pubmed:issn
0277-6715
pubmed:author
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:volume
8
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
831-43
pubmed:dateRevised
2007-11-14
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
1989
pubmed:articleTitle
Statistical analysis of the stages of HIV infection using a Markov model.
pubmed:affiliation
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322.
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.