Statements in which the resource exists as a subject.
PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:issue
1
pubmed:dateCreated
1990-4-4
pubmed:abstractText
Whether decision rules derived statistically from patient data can produce better decisions than an expert clinician or a model of the expert clinician (expert system) is controversial. We examined this issue in the context of predicting cardiac death by 1 year for patients discharged from the hospital following acute myocardial infarction. Decision rules were derived from a base sample of 781 patients. These decision rules and three experienced cardiologists then estimated probability of death by 1 year for each patient in a separate test sample (n = 400). In our evaluation of the performance of the decision rules and physicians, we detected no differences, although the decision rules and physicians tended to classify the patients somewhat differently. Further multivariate analyses on the physicians' predictions showed that two of the physicians paid attention to somewhat different variables than the third physician. Lack of agreement among expert cardiologists would complicate modeling of a consensual decision-making process within the framework of an expert system.
pubmed:grant
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
IM
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:month
Feb
pubmed:issn
0010-4809
pubmed:author
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:volume
23
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
46-63
pubmed:dateRevised
2007-11-14
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
1990
pubmed:articleTitle
Predicting 1-year outcome following acute myocardial infarction: physicians versus computers.
pubmed:affiliation
Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla 92093.
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S., Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't