Source:http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/id/21351144
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
8
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pubmed:dateCreated |
2011-7-22
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pubmed:abstractText |
Bone mineral density (BMD) is a strong predictor of fracture, yet most fractures occur in women without osteoporosis by BMD criteria. To improve fracture risk prediction, the World Health Organization recently developed a country-specific fracture risk index of clinical risk factors (FRAX) that estimates 10-year probabilities of hip and major osteoporotic fracture. Within differing baseline BMD categories, we evaluated 6252 women aged 65 or older in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures using FRAX 10-year probabilities of hip and major osteoporotic fracture (ie, hip, clinical spine, wrist, and humerus) compared with incidence of fractures over 10 years of follow-up. Overall ability of FRAX to predict fracture risk based on initial BMD T-score categories (normal, low bone mass, and osteoporosis) was evaluated with receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) analyses using area under the curve (AUC). Over 10 years of follow-up, 368 women incurred a hip fracture, and 1011 a major osteoporotic fracture. Women with low bone mass represented the majority (n = 3791, 61%); they developed many hip (n = 176, 48%) and major osteoporotic fractures (n = 569, 56%). Among women with normal and low bone mass, FRAX (including BMD) was an overall better predictor of hip fracture risk (AUC = 0.78 and 0.70, respectively) than major osteoporotic fractures (AUC = 0.64 and 0.62). Simpler models (eg, age + prior fracture) had similar AUCs to FRAX, including among women for whom primary prevention is sought (no prior fracture or osteoporosis by BMD). The FRAX and simpler models predict 10-year risk of incident hip and major osteoporotic fractures in older US women with normal or low bone mass.
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pubmed:grant |
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/2 R01 AG005394-22A1,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/2 R01 AG027574-22A1,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/AG05394,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/AG05407,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/AR35582,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/AR35583,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/AR35584,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/R01 AG005407,
http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/grant/R01 AG027576-22
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Aug
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pubmed:issn |
1523-4681
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pubmed:author |
pubmed-author:BauerDouglas CDC,
pubmed-author:BlackDennis MDM,
pubmed-author:CauleyJane AJA,
pubmed-author:CummingsSteven RSR,
pubmed-author:DonaldsonMeghan GMG,
pubmed-author:EnsrudKristine EKE,
pubmed-author:HillierTeresa ATA,
pubmed-author:LeblancErin SES,
pubmed-author:LuiLi-YungLY,
pubmed-author:PedulaKathryn LKL,
pubmed-author:RizzoJoanne HJH,
pubmed-author:VescoKimberly KKK
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pubmed:copyrightInfo |
Copyright © 2011 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
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pubmed:issnType |
Electronic
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pubmed:volume |
26
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
1774-82
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pubmed:meshHeading |
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Bone Density,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Bone and Bones,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Cohort Studies,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Female,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Follow-Up Studies,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Fractures, Bone,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Humans,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Models, Biological,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Organ Size,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Osteoporosis,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Prognosis,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-Risk Factors,
pubmed-meshheading:21351144-World Health Organization
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pubmed:year |
2011
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pubmed:articleTitle |
WHO absolute fracture risk models (FRAX): do clinical risk factors improve fracture prediction in older women without osteoporosis?
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pubmed:affiliation |
Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest/Hawaii, Portland, OR 97227, USA. teresa.hillier@kpchr.org
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article,
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
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