Source:http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/id/17898438
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
6
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pubmed:dateCreated |
2007-9-27
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pubmed:abstractText |
Uncertainty analysis for large-scale model studies is a challenging activity that requires a different approach to uncertainty analysis at a smaller scale. However, in river basin studies, the practice of uncertainty analysis at a large scale is mostly derived from practice at a small scale. The limitations and inherent subjectivity of some current practices and assumptions are identified, based on the results of a quantitative uncertainty analysis exploring the effects of input data and parameter uncertainty on surface water nutrient concentration. We show that: (i) although the results from small- scale sensitivity analysis are often applied at larger scales, this is not always valid; (ii) the current restriction of the uncertainty assessment to uncertainty types with a strong evidence base gives structurally conservative estimates; (iii) uncertainty due to bias is usually not assessed, but it may easily outweigh the effects of variability; (iv) the uncertainty bandwidth may increase for higher aggregation levels, although the opposite is the standard assumption.
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:issn |
0273-1223
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Print
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pubmed:volume |
56
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
1-9
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pubmed:meshHeading | |
pubmed:year |
2007
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pubmed:articleTitle |
Uncertainty analysis at large scales: limitations and subjectivity of current practices--a water quality case study.
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pubmed:affiliation |
Department of Water Engineering & Management, University of Twente, PO Box 217, 7500, AE, Enschede, The Netherlands. r.m.bijlsma@utwente.nl
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article,
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
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