Source:http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/id/17725809
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Predicate | Object |
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
2
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pubmed:dateCreated |
2008-5-16
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pubmed:abstractText |
Consider a group of subjects who are offered an opportunity to receive a sequence of periodic special examinations for the purpose of diagnosing a chronic disease earlier relative to usual care. The mortality for the early detection group is to be compared with a group receiving usual care. Benefit is reflected in a potential reduction in mortality. This article develops a general probability model that can be used to predict cumulative mortality for each of these groups. The elements of the model assume (i) a four-state progressive disease model in which a subject may be in a disease-free state (or a disease state that cannot be detected), preclinical disease state (capable of being diagnosed by a special exam), clinical state (diagnosis by usual care), and a death state; (ii) age-dependent transitions into the states; (iii) age-dependent examination sensitivity; (iv) age-dependent sojourn time in each state; and (v) the distribution of disease stages on diagnosis conditional on modality of detection. The model may be used to (i) compare mortality rates for different screening schedules; (ii) explore potential benefit of subpopulations; and (iii) compare relative reductions in disease-specific mortality due to advances and dissemination of both treatment and early detection screening programs.
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pubmed:grant | |
pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Jun
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pubmed:issn |
1541-0420
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Electronic
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pubmed:volume |
64
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
386-95
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pubmed:meshHeading |
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Biometry,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Chronic Disease,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Computer Simulation,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Humans,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Models, Biological,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Models, Statistical,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Population Surveillance,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Proportional Hazards Models,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Survival Analysis,
pubmed-meshheading:17725809-Survival Rate
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pubmed:year |
2008
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pubmed:articleTitle |
Mortality modeling of early detection programs.
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pubmed:affiliation |
Harvard School of Public Health and the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA. lee.sandra@jimmy.harvard.edu
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article,
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
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