Source:http://linkedlifedata.com/resource/pubmed/id/16494724
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Predicate | Object |
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rdf:type | |
lifeskim:mentions | |
pubmed:issue |
1
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pubmed:dateCreated |
2006-2-23
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pubmed:abstractText |
We compared strategies for stock piling neuraminidase inhibitors to treat and prevent influenza in Singapore. Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analyses, with Monte Carlo simulations, were used to determine economic outcomes. A pandemic in a population of 4.2 million would result in an estimated 525-1,775 deaths, 10,700-38,600 hospitalization days, and economic costs of 0.7 dollars to 2.2 billion Singapore dollars. The treatment-only strategy had optimal economic benefits: stock piles of antiviral agents for 40% of the population would save an estimated 418 lives and 414 million dollars, at a cost of 52.6 million dollars per shelf-life cycle of the stock pile. Prophylaxis was economically beneficial in high-risk subpopulations, which account for 78% of deaths, and in pandemics in which the death rate was >0.6%. Prophylaxis for pandemics with a 5% case-fatality rate would save 50,000 lives and 81 billion dollars. These models can help policymakers weigh the options for pandemic planning.
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pubmed:language |
eng
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pubmed:journal | |
pubmed:citationSubset |
IM
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pubmed:chemical | |
pubmed:status |
MEDLINE
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pubmed:month |
Jan
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pubmed:issn |
1080-6040
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pubmed:author | |
pubmed:issnType |
Print
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pubmed:volume |
12
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pubmed:owner |
NLM
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pubmed:authorsComplete |
Y
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pubmed:pagination |
95-102
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pubmed:meshHeading |
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Antiviral Agents,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Cost-Benefit Analysis,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Decision Making,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Disease Outbreaks,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Humans,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Influenza, Human,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Neuraminidase,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Singapore,
pubmed-meshheading:16494724-Survival Rate
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pubmed:year |
2006
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pubmed:articleTitle |
Economics of neuraminidase inhibitor stock piling for pandemic influenza, Singapore.
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pubmed:affiliation |
Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore. vernonljm@hotmail.com
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pubmed:publicationType |
Journal Article
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