Statements in which the resource exists as a subject.
PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:dateCreated
2005-8-4
pubmed:abstractText
Being able to anticipate future needs for health services presents a challenge for health planners. Using existing population projections, two models are presented to estimate the demand for hospital beds in regions of Manitoba in 2020. The first, a current-use projection model, simply projects the average use for a recent 3-year period into the future. The second, a 10-year trend analysis, uses Poisson regression to project future demand. The current-use projection suggests a substantial increase in the demand for hospital beds, while the trend analysis projects a decline. The last projections are consistent with ongoing increases in rates of day surgeries and declines in lengths of stay. The current-use projections need to be considered in the context of relatively low occupancy rates in rural hospitals and previous research on appropriateness of stays in acute care hospitals. If measures are taken to ensure more appropriate use of acute care hospital beds in the future, then the current-use projections of bed shortages are not a cause for concern.
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
IM
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:issn
0714-9808
pubmed:author
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:volume
24 Suppl 1
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
133-40
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
2005
pubmed:articleTitle
Anticipating change: how many acute care hospital beds will Manitoba regions need in 2020?
pubmed:affiliation
Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, 727 McDermot Avenue, Suite 408, Winnipeg, MB, R3E 3P5, Canada. Greg_Finlayson@cpe.umanitoba.ca
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article