Statements in which the resource exists as a subject.
PredicateObject
rdf:type
lifeskim:mentions
pubmed:issue
3
pubmed:dateCreated
2003-1-16
pubmed:abstractText
When describing longitudinal binary response data, it may be desirable to estimate the cumulative probability of at least one positive response by some time point. For example, in phase I and II human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) vaccine trials, investigators are often interested in the probability of at least one vaccine-induced CD8+ cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response to HIV proteins at different times over the course of the trial. In this setting, traditional estimates of the cumulative probabilities have been based on observed proportions. We show that if the missing data mechanism is ignorable, the traditional estimator of the cumulative success probabilities is biased and tends to underestimate a candidate vaccine's ability to induce CTL responses. As an alternative, we propose applying standard optimization techniques to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the response profiles and, in turn, the cumulative probabilities of interest. Comparisons of the empirical and maximum likelihood estimates are investigated using data from simulations and HIV vaccine trials. We conclude that maximum likelihood offers a more accurate method of estimation, which is especially important in the HIV vaccine setting as cumulative CTL responses will likely be used as a key criterion for large scale efficacy trial qualification.
pubmed:grant
pubmed:language
eng
pubmed:journal
pubmed:citationSubset
IM
pubmed:chemical
pubmed:status
MEDLINE
pubmed:month
Feb
pubmed:issn
0277-6715
pubmed:author
pubmed:copyrightInfo
Copyright 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
pubmed:issnType
Print
pubmed:day
15
pubmed:volume
22
pubmed:owner
NLM
pubmed:authorsComplete
Y
pubmed:pagination
463-79
pubmed:dateRevised
2007-11-15
pubmed:meshHeading
pubmed:year
2003
pubmed:articleTitle
Estimating cumulative probabilities from incomplete longitudinal binary responses with application to HIV vaccine trials.
pubmed:affiliation
Statistical Center For HIV/AIDS Research and Prevention, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue N, MW-500, P.O. Box 19024, Seattle, WA 98109, USA. mhudgens@scharp.org
pubmed:publicationType
Journal Article, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.